Beata Blazkova: Would You Treat a 0.03 Difference as Decisive in Embryo Selection?
Beata Blazkova, ESHRE-Certified Senior Clinical Embryologist at Prague Fertility Centre, shared a post on LinkedIn:
“The 0.03 Difference: When AI Scores Look Decisive
Two blastocysts.
Same patient. Same cycle.
An AI system estimates implantation probability:
Embryo A: 0.71
Embryo B: 0.68
A three-percentage-point difference.
The model ranks Embryo A first.
But is that difference clinically meaningful?
Statistically, the algorithm distinguishes between them.
Clinically, the gap may fall within:
- model uncertainty
- confidence interval overlap
- biological variability
- limits of training data
Yet numbers carry psychological weight.
0.71 feels safer than 0.68.
Even if the difference may not translate into a different real-world outcome.
This is where statistical significance and clinical significance diverge.
And this is where patient communication becomes critical.
Do we present the higher number as a clear advantage?
Or do we explain that a 0.03 gap may not change the biological reality?
AI generates probabilities.
It does not generate certainty.
Precision can create the illusion of control in a system that remains deeply biological and unpredictable.
So here is the real question:
Would you treat a 0.03 difference as decisive in embryo selection?”

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